Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 7, 2021 at 3.45pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
2 - 1
AZ

Openda (31'), Rasmussen (72')
Bero (12'), Tannane (12'), Dasa (90+3')
Cornelisse (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Karlsson (81')
De Wit (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
32.21%	23.88%	43.91%

Both teams to score 60.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.62%

41.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.22%

63.77%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01%

24.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36%

59.63%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9%

19.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.28%

50.72%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 32.21%

AZ Alkmaar 43.91%

Draw 23.87%

Vitesse	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.21%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 5% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.32% Total : 43.91%