Eredivisie | Gameweek 23

Feb 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

De Koel

VVV-Venlo
1 - 4
AZ

Donis (24')
Kum (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Karlsson (15'), Evjen (56'), Boadu (64', 85')
Wijndal (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between VVV-Venlo and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 1-3 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 2-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
16.13%	17.9%	65.97%

Both teams to score 62.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.48%

30.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.18%

51.83%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08%

31.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63%

68.37%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.32%

8.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.1%

29.9%

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 16.13%

AZ Alkmaar 65.97%

Draw 17.9%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 4.42% 1-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.06% 2-0 @ 1.81% 3-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 3% Total : 16.13%	1-1 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 5.4% 0-0 @ 2.77% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.9%	1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 7.7% 0-1 @ 6.77% 0-3 @ 6.74% 1-4 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 4.4% 0-4 @ 4.12% 2-4 @ 2.69% 1-5 @ 2.3% 0-5 @ 2.02% 2-5 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.02% 1-6 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.52% Total : 65.97%