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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
67.5% | 18.58% | 13.93% |
Both teams to score 53.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.22% | 38.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.91% | 61.09% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.43% | 10.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.69% | 34.31% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.95% | 40.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% | 76.7% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 7.33% 4-0 @ 4.5% 4-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.35% 5-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 4.45% Total : 67.49% | 1-1 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.58% | 1-2 @ 3.98% 0-1 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
4 | FC Twente | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
5 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
8 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |