Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.