Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.