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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a win it was 1-2 (4.18%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
67.55% | 17.42% | 15.03% |
Both teams to score 61.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.52% | 30.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.23% | 51.77% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.67% | 8.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.97% | 29.03% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% | 33.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.21% | 69.79% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 7.8% 3-0 @ 7.07% 1-0 @ 6.87% 4-1 @ 4.85% 4-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 4.31% 4-2 @ 2.68% 5-1 @ 2.41% 5-0 @ 2.19% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 1% 4-3 @ 0.98% 6-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.8% Total : 67.55% | 1-1 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 2.76% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.3% Total : 17.42% | 1-2 @ 4.18% 0-1 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-2 @ 1.68% 1-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.67% Total : 15.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |