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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
42.65% | 24.15% | 33.19% |
Both teams to score 60.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.67% | 42.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.27% | 64.73% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% | 20.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.75% | 52.24% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% | 24.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% | 59.45% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.44% 3-1 @ 4.8% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 1.93% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 3% Total : 42.65% | 1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |