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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
2 - 1
Luton

Franco (38'), Peart-Harris (90+1')
Grimes (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morris (5')
McGuinness (30'), Johnson (31'), Clark (60')
Johnson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 QPR
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Luton
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Luton Town

Luton's away form is so poor that it is difficult to back them despite the obvious quality in their squad; the Hatters should give their fans a goal to cheer, but we are expecting the hosts to secure all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
53.75% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 24.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 22.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.36%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)50.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 53.75%
    Luton Town 22.01%
    Draw 24.23%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.01%

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
Draw
Luton Town
Swansea City
64.8%
Draw
15.5%
Luton Town
19.7%
71
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Luton
1-1
Swansea
Adebayo (17')
Grimes (64')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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