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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
2 - 3
Sunderland

Vipotnik (5'), Cullen (17')
Cabango (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ballard (28'), Neill (73'), Bellingham (75')
Bellingham (16'), Cirkin (52'), Rigg (89'), Isidor (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Swansea
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Sunderland

Both sides have come through difficult spells during this season and they will be hoping that their worst form is already behind them. However, Swansea have picked up their form in recent weeks, and we think they may sneak a 1-0 win here against a Sunderland side that have found it difficult away from home over the past two months. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
43.11% (0.132 0.13) 26.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 30.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.88% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.12% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)74.69% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56% (0.050000000000011 0.05)24.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (0.07 0.07)58.88% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.113 -0.11)31.96% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (-0.131 -0.13)68.42% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.11%
    Sunderland 30.48%
    Draw 26.4%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.48%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
58.6%
Draw
13.8%
Sunderland
27.6%
29
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Sunderland
1-2
Swansea
O'Nien (77')
Hume (45+4'), Dodds (46')
Pereira Martins (19', 28')
Paterson (45+5'), Cabango (45+5'), Darling (90+2'), Tymon (90+4')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Swansea
0-0
Sunderland
Patino (10'), Duff (11'), Fulton (50'), Darling (80')
Patino (30')
Rusyn (20'), Ballard (52'), O'Nien (90+3')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Sunderland
1-3
Swansea
Neill (64')
Piroe (50'), Cullen (70'), Cooper (78')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Swansea
2-1
Sunderland
Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
Clarke (51')
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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