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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 22.96% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.24%).
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Swansea City |
54.85% ( 0.18) | 22.19% ( 0.04) | 22.96% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.53% ( -0.41) | 40.47% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.15% ( -0.42) | 62.85% ( 0.42) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.29% ( -0.08) | 14.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.1% ( -0.16) | 42.89% ( 0.16) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.86% ( -0.41) | 31.13% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% ( -0.48) | 67.46% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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