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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Plymouth Argyle

Sunderland
3 - 1
Plymouth

Ekwah (52'), Clarke (59'), Bellingham (67')
Ba (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hardie (39')
Whittaker (24'), Phillips (33'), Mumba (44'), Gyabi (69'), Sorinola (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth Argyle

Although Sunderland are the marginal favourites for this contest, it feels as though they are playing a resurgent Plymouth at the wrong time. With their new signings back in the side, we expect the Pilgrims to earn a share of the spoils in an entertaining tussle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawPlymouth Argyle
56.75% (0.084000000000003 0.08) 22.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 20.88% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (0.058999999999997 0.06)43.87% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75% (0.059000000000005 0.06)66.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (0.049000000000007 0.05)15.25% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.07% (0.089999999999996 0.09)43.93% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)34.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)71.7% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 56.75%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.88%
    Draw 22.36%
SunderlandDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.75%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.36%
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 20.88%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Plymouth

Sunderland
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Plymouth Argyle
22.2%
36
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Plymouth
2-0
Sunderland
Whittaker (24'), Azaz (40')
Cundle (26'), Kesler (85'), Randell (90+1'), Mumba (90+2')

O'Nien (85')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Plymouth
0-0
Sunderland
Sessegnon (90+2')
Cirkin (59'), Evans (84')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Sunderland
2-1
Plymouth
Neill (4'), Broadhead (13')
Winchester (45+1'), Stewart (54'), Wright (77'), O'Brien (81')
Scarr (64')
Edwards (22'), Houghton (85')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Plymouth
1-3
Sunderland
Edwards (63')
Camara (42'), Law (49'), Opoku (54'), Edwards (76')
Opoku (64')
Stewart (21'), Maguire (84' pen.), Hume (90+2')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Sunderland
1-2
Plymouth
O'Brien (51')
Winchester (28'), O'Brien (54')
Lewis (11'), Edwards (56')
Lewis (46'), Cooper (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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