Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 6pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 1
Plymouth

Alcaraz (56'), Adams (63')
Smallbone (40'), Manning (44'), Alcaraz (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hardie (90+1')
Mumba (13'), Edwards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth having collected points in their recent matches, the pressure is off to a certain extent. However, Southampton look unbeatable at present and, while we expect the visitors to be competitive for a time, the home side should eventually cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
67.28% ( 0.03)	17.91% ( -0.01)	14.82% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.69% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.57% (

33.43% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.78% (

55.22% (

-0)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.83% (

0.01)

9.17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.93% (

0.02)

31.07% (

-0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61% (

-0.02)

35.39% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84% (

-0.02)

72.16% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Southampton 67.28%

Plymouth Argyle 14.82%

Draw 17.91%

Southampton	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 4.82% Total : 67.28%	1-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.91%	1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.82%