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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Rotherham logo

Plymouth
3 - 2
Rotherham

Azaz (45+5' pen., 52'), Whittaker (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lindsay (16'), Eaves (77')
Ayala (25'), Odofin (36'), Nombe (45+3'), Lindsay (49'), Rathbone (90+2'), Johansson (90+3')
Ayala (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Plymouth
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Rotherham United

After battling through 70 minutes with 10 players in the week against QPR, an 11-man Plymouth will be raring to rack up the goals against the division's bottom side at Home Park. Rotherham did not look like scoring on Tuesday night and considering their woeful record on the road, we cannot imagine a result for the Millers from their maiden away trip under Richardson. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawRotherham United
52.92% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04) 23.71% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 23.37% (0.087999999999997 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.13% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (0.29 0.29)46.81% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (0.271 0.27)69.07% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.093000000000004 0.09)17.65% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.16 0.16)48.25% (-0.158 -0.16)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (0.238 0.24)34.27% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (0.254 0.25)70.97% (-0.252 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 52.92%
    Rotherham United 23.37%
    Draw 23.71%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Rotherham

Plymouth Argyle
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Rotherham United
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-1
Rotherham

Camara (26'), Edwards (29')
Smith (63')
Barlaser (25'), Rathbone (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Rotherham
2-0
Plymouth
Ladapo (10'), Wiles (38')
Barlaser (49'), Lindsay (66')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Rotherham
Grant (56'), Carey (90' pen.)
Towell (33')
Williams (51'), Rodak (92')
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Plymouth
Ajayi (90')
Towell (36'), Wood (42')
Wood (50')
Taylor (82')
Carey (40'), Taylor (83')
Apr 20, 2013 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Rotherham

Nelson (75'), Gurrieri (90')
Agard (75')
Revell (10'), Agard (19'), Arnason (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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