Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Nov 24, 2023 at 8pm UK

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham
1 - 1
Leeds

Odofin (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Summerville (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 5-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rotherham United 1-4 Leeds United

With this being a derby and one of their toughest fixtures on the calendar, Rotherham may play with a sense of freedom. Nevertheless, we expect Leeds to continue their recent resurgence, producing a ruthless performance to keep Leicester and Ipswich looking over their shoulder. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Leeds United
26.85% ( -0)	23.76% ( 0.01)	49.4% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.58% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07% (

-0.03)

43.92% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.69% (

-0.03)

66.31% (

0.03)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

-0.02)

29.87% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.04% (

-0.03)

65.96% (

0.03)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

-0.01)

17.89% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.32% (

-0.02)

48.68% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 26.85%

Leeds United 49.4%

Draw 23.75%

Rotherham United	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 26.85%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 9.56% 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.4%