Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 0
Leeds

Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leeds United

Stoke City are bound to take some confidence from their return to winning ways at the weekend, but they face a Leeds United side who have an abundance of confidence and momentum. The Whites now look to be making their quality count under Farke, and we fancy them to make it four straight Championship wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Leeds United
38.74% ( -0.66)	25.1% ( 0.42)	36.15% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 57.34% (

-1.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.83% (

-1.92)

46.17% (

1.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

-1.84)

68.46% (

1.83)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-1.19)

23.57% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

-1.74)

57.64% (

1.74)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.03% (

-0.76)

24.96% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.39% (

-1.06)

59.61% (

1.06)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 38.74%

Leeds United 36.15%

Draw 25.1%

Stoke City	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 38.74%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.1%	1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.15%