MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:43:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leeds logo

Stoke
1 - 0
Leeds

Struijk (80' og.)
Thompson (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnonto (68'), Rutter (78'), Summerville (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Leeds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leeds United

Stoke City are bound to take some confidence from their return to winning ways at the weekend, but they face a Leeds United side who have an abundance of confidence and momentum. The Whites now look to be making their quality count under Farke, and we fancy them to make it four straight Championship wins on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
38.74% (-0.656 -0.66) 25.1% (0.417 0.42) 36.15% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-1.473 -1.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (-1.917 -1.92)46.17% (1.913 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53% (-1.837 -1.84)68.46% (1.831 1.83)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-1.185 -1.19)23.57% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (-1.741 -1.74)57.64% (1.737 1.74)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.756 -0.76)24.96% (0.75 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-1.059 -1.06)59.61% (1.055 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 38.74%
    Leeds United 36.15%
    Draw 25.1%
Stoke CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.391 0.39)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.463 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
1-2 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.477 0.48)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.79% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 36.15%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leeds

Stoke City
12.8%
Draw
8.5%
Leeds United
78.7%
47
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
3-0
Leeds
Collins (1'), Gregory (2'), Ince (3')
Jul 9, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
5-0
Stoke
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Leeds
2-2
Stoke
Stoke win 5-4 on penalties
Nketiah (67'), Costa (81')
McCalmont (33'), Douglas (90')
Batth (39'), Vokes (44')
Martins Indi (22'), Carter-Vickers (60')
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stoke
0-3
Leeds
Dallas (42'), Alioski (50'), Bamford (66')
Nketiah (80'), Phillips (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 28
Stoke
2-1
Leeds
Clucas (49'), Allen (88')
Adam (58')
Alioski (90')
Forshaw (17'), Jansson (19'), Hernandez (63')
Jansson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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