EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Stoke

Solanke (51'), Rothwell (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (67'), Wilmot (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bournemouth 3-0 Stoke City

With injuries piling up and other players unable to take the field on Wednesday for administrative reasons, this third-round tie has all the makings of a miserable evening for the Potters. An injection of confidence would do Bournemouth the world of good right now, and we expect the Cherries to get it during a resounding success on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Stoke City
23.77% ( -0.93)	22.87% ( -0.15)	53.36% ( 1.07)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

-0.25)

42.72% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

-0.25)

65.12% (

0.24)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.32% (

-0.9)

31.68% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

-1.05)

68.1% (

1.05)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84% (

0.28)

16% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.68% (

0.52)

45.32% (

-0.53)

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 23.77%

Stoke City 53.36%

Draw 22.87%

Bournemouth	Draw	Stoke City
2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.67% Total : 23.77%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.46% Total : 53.36%