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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
41.1% ( 0.17) | 26.59% ( -0.04) | 32.3% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.72% ( 0.13) | 53.28% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.17% ( 0.12) | 74.83% ( -0.11) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.45% ( 0.15) | 25.55% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.59% ( 0.21) | 60.41% ( -0.21) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( -0.02) | 30.78% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.02) | 67.05% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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