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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Stoke logo

Norwich
1 - 0
Stoke

Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Preston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stoke City

Although both teams suffered defeat immediately before the international break, Norwich have look by far the superior side in recent games. With that in mind, we can only predict a home win for the Canaries, heaping the pressure on Neil in the opposite dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
41.1% (0.175 0.17) 26.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 32.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.54% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.135 0.13)53.28% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.117 0.12)74.83% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.15299999999999 0.15)25.55% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.21 0.21)60.41% (-0.208 -0.21)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.1%
    Stoke City 32.3%
    Draw 26.59%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Stoke City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
2-2
Norwich
Williams (47'), Edwards (69')
Hernandez (24'), Pukki (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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