Championship

Championship | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
2 - 0
Stoke

Woolfenden (23'), Jackson (81')
Hladky (51'), Donacien (77'), Morsy (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rose (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 1-1 Stoke City

While Ipswich are the narrow favourites for this contest, Stoke have put together a squad capable of a promotion push this year. With that in mind, we feel that a competitive draw is the most likely outcome, one which neither side will turn down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Stoke City
53.98% ( -0.29)	23.16% ( 0.09)	22.85% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 55.28% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

-0.19)

44.98% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

-0.18)

67.33% (

0.18)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

-0.17)

16.59% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61% (

-0.31)

46.38% (

0.3)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.27% (

0.07)

33.72% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.62% (

0.08)

70.38% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 53.98%

Stoke City 22.85%

Draw 23.16%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.98%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 22.85%