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Championship | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Stoke logo

Ipswich
2 - 0
Stoke

Woolfenden (23'), Jackson (81')
Hladky (51'), Donacien (77'), Morsy (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rose (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 1-1 Stoke City

While Ipswich are the narrow favourites for this contest, Stoke have put together a squad capable of a promotion push this year. With that in mind, we feel that a competitive draw is the most likely outcome, one which neither side will turn down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawStoke City
53.98% (-0.286 -0.29) 23.16% (0.090999999999998 0.09) 22.85% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 55.28% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (-0.192 -0.19)44.98% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.67% (-0.183 -0.18)67.33% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)16.59% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (-0.306 -0.31)46.38% (0.303 0.3)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.067999999999998 0.07)33.72% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.076000000000001 0.08)70.38% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 53.98%
    Stoke City 22.85%
    Draw 23.16%
Ipswich TownDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 22.85%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Stoke

Ipswich Town
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Stoke City
36.4%
33
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Ipswich
1-1
Stoke
Keane (92')
McClean (42')
McClean (33')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stoke
2-0
Ipswich
Ince (45'), Allen (60')
Pieters (78')

Edwards (66')
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Jan 12, 2008 3pm
Ipswich
1-1
Stoke
Haynes (19')
De Vos (65'), Legwinski (88'), Haynes (90')
Fuller (33')
Fuller (67'), Cresswell (79')
Jan 30, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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