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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
53.98% ( -0.29) | 23.16% ( 0.09) | 22.85% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.19) | 44.98% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.67% ( -0.18) | 67.33% ( 0.18) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.17) | 16.59% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.61% ( -0.31) | 46.38% ( 0.3) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.27% ( 0.07) | 33.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.62% ( 0.08) | 70.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 22.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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