EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Taylor (12'), Aluko (76')
Hutchinson (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Ipswich
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers

With both teams, particularly Ipswich, expected to rotate their squads, this could prove to be an entertaining tie. However, McKenna has more players at his disposal that will want to impress, and we feel that they may edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
60.86% ( -0.76)	20.28% ( 0.39)	18.85% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 58.96% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.8% (

-1.3)

37.2% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.59% (

-1.42)

59.4% (

1.41)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.15% (

-0.6)

11.85% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.87% (

-1.29)

37.12% (

1.28)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

-0.41)

33.11% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.29% (

-0.45)

69.71% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 60.86%

Bristol Rovers 18.86%

Draw 20.28%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.24% Total : 60.86%	1-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.28%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 18.86%