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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 38
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Leahy (3'), Street (53')
Dunkley (23'), Shipley (36'), Winchester (61'), Phillips (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coburn (70')
Hoole (59'), Collins (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Both sides have had very difficult fixtures in recent weeks, so it is perhaps unfair to be overly critical about their poor form, but they will have a point to prove on Monday, even if the game ultimately does not count for much. Given that very little separates the two teams in the table, however, we think the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.06% (-1.495 -1.5) 25% (0.709 0.71) 31.94% (0.792 0.79)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-2.078 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (-2.88 -2.88)46.63% (2.886 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (-2.759 -2.76)68.9% (2.764 2.76)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-1.866 -1.87)21.66% (1.871 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-2.938 -2.94)54.8% (2.944 2.94)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)27.71% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-1.18 -1.18)63.27% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 43.06%
    Bristol Rovers 31.94%
    Draw 25%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.47 0.47)
0-0 @ 6% (0.699 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.719 0.72)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury Town
Draw
Bristol Rovers
Shrewsbury Town
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Bristol Rovers
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Shrewsbury
Loft (68')
Marquis (57')
Bowman (80')
Bowman (65')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Shrewsbury
Leahy (45'), Hanlan (60')
Udoh (90+2')
Ebanks-Landell (70')
Oct 20, 2020 6pm
gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Walker (37')
Hanlan (15')
Grant (57'), Harries (66')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Shrewsbury

Menayese (29'), Kilgour (84')
Udoh (69')
Pierre (43'), Williams (74'), Cummings (87'), Lang (90'), Edwards (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
gameweek 19
Shrewsbury
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Laurent (37', 67'), Norburn (62')
Thompson (20'), Laurent (20'), Norburn (22')
Craig (11'), Clarke (28'), Sercombe (47'), Ogogo (87')
Jaakkola (20'), Adeboyejo (21'), Clarke (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham37218851302171
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe361911661342768
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham36129154042-245
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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