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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 38
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Leahy (3'), Street (53')
Dunkley (23'), Shipley (36'), Winchester (61'), Phillips (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coburn (70')
Hoole (59'), Collins (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Both sides have had very difficult fixtures in recent weeks, so it is perhaps unfair to be overly critical about their poor form, but they will have a point to prove on Monday, even if the game ultimately does not count for much. Given that very little separates the two teams in the table, however, we think the most likely result is a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.06% (-1.495 -1.5) 25% (0.709 0.71) 31.94% (0.792 0.79)
Both teams to score 56.64% (-2.078 -2.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37% (-2.88 -2.88)46.63% (2.886 2.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1% (-2.759 -2.76)68.9% (2.764 2.76)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-1.866 -1.87)21.66% (1.871 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (-2.938 -2.94)54.8% (2.944 2.94)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)27.71% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-1.18 -1.18)63.27% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 43.06%
    Bristol Rovers 31.94%
    Draw 25%
Shrewsbury TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.59 0.59)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.309 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.247 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 43.06%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.47 0.47)
0-0 @ 6% (0.699 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.719 0.72)
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.096 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.94%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers

Shrewsbury Town
57.9%
Draw
26.3%
Bristol Rovers
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Shrewsbury
Loft (68')
Marquis (57')
Bowman (80')
Bowman (65')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Shrewsbury
Leahy (45'), Hanlan (60')
Udoh (90+2')
Ebanks-Landell (70')
Oct 20, 2020 6pm
gameweek 7
Shrewsbury
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Walker (37')
Hanlan (15')
Grant (57'), Harries (66')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Shrewsbury

Menayese (29'), Kilgour (84')
Udoh (69')
Pierre (43'), Williams (74'), Cummings (87'), Lang (90'), Edwards (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
gameweek 19
Shrewsbury
3-4
Bristol Rovers
Laurent (37', 67'), Norburn (62')
Thompson (20'), Laurent (20'), Norburn (22')
Craig (11'), Clarke (28'), Sercombe (47'), Ogogo (87')
Jaakkola (20'), Adeboyejo (21'), Clarke (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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