Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.