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Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Bristol Rovers

Plymouth
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Ennis (51'), Gillesphey (56')
Matete (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Evans (13'), Barton (14'), Loft (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Bristol Rovers

While Plymouth have not necessarily been at their best of late, they have still managed to churn out a number of key victories. We feel that will remain the same on Tuesday, leading us to predict another win with a clean sheet being posted in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
64.5% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 19.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 15.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.01% (0.075000000000003 0.08)38.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08)61.31% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (0.027000000000001 0.03)11.4% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (0.061 0.06)36.16% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (0.039000000000001 0.04)37.48% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)74.26% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 64.49%
    Bristol Rovers 15.95%
    Draw 19.55%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.88% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 64.49%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Bristol Rovers

Plymouth Argyle
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Bristol Rovers
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Plymouth

Loft (85'), Thomas (90+5')
Waine (24'), Hardie (32')
Matete (71'), Lonwijk (77'), Ennis (88')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Plymouth
Coburn (47'), Collins (57')
Azaz (14'), Randell (45+2')
Houghton (23')
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Plymouth
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Plymouth win 4-3 on penalties
Hardie (58' pen.)
Whittaker (37')
Loft (50')
Saunders (60'), Rossiter (88')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 37
Plymouth
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Ennis (7', 45')
Ennis (18'), Opoku (39'), Lewis (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Plymouth
Kilgour (7'), McCormick (26'), Westbrooke (85')
Upson (68')

Watts (40'), Fornah (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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