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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
28.27% ( -0.3) | 24.26% ( 0.31) | 47.47% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.04% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.84% ( -1.58) | 45.16% ( 1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.5% ( -1.54) | 67.5% ( 1.54) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.54% ( -1.02) | 29.46% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.54% ( -1.27) | 65.47% ( 1.27) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( -0.63) | 19.13% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( -1.04) | 50.77% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.19% Total : 47.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |