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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Accrington
0 - 2
Plymouth


Sangare (17'), McConville (38'), Martin (42'), Longelo-Mbule (90+4')
Sangare (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Butcher (14'), Grant (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-1 MK Dons
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have only won six of their 18 away league matches this season, but we are expecting the visitors to triumph in this match. Accrington's recent form has been disappointing, so it is difficult to back the strugglers to collect anything from Tuesday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
28.27% (-0.301 -0.3) 24.26% (0.309 0.31) 47.47% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.04% (-1.276 -1.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.84% (-1.583 -1.58)45.16% (1.584 1.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.5% (-1.536 -1.54)67.5% (1.537 1.54)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-1.024 -1.02)29.46% (1.025 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-1.268 -1.27)65.47% (1.271 1.27)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-0.625 -0.63)19.13% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (-1.044 -1.04)50.77% (1.045 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.27%
    Plymouth Argyle 47.48%
    Draw 24.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.374 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.444 0.44)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.25% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.48%

How you voted: Accrington vs Plymouth

Accrington Stanley
18.2%
Draw
10.0%
Plymouth Argyle
71.8%
110
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
4-0
Accrington
Camara (12'), Edwards (37'), Ennis (64'), Hardie (79')
Camara (62')

Butcher (31')
Savin (68')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Plymouth
Leigh (50')
Leigh (54'), Conneely (72')
Hamilton (23' og.), Houghton (44'), Broom (63'), Hardie (76')
Garrick (79'), Grant (84')
Feb 9, 2021 5.30pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Accrington
Jephcott (43'), Ennis (78')
Opoku (87'), Lewis (88')
Pritchard (41'), Charles (47')
Barclay (63'), Butcher (74')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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