League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Accrington1 - 3Portsmouth
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One
We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Portsmouth
Portsmouth boast more quality in their squad than the hosts, but Cowley's men are struggling for form in the third tier while Accrington are improving, and we only see the visitors leaving with another draw at the weekend amid their struggles. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
23.92% ( 0.55) | 25.17% ( 0.3) | 50.91% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% ( -0.67) | 52.27% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( -0.58) | 73.96% ( 0.58) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.13) | 36.78% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.43% ( 0.13) | 73.57% ( -0.13) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.61) | 20.53% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.96% ( -0.98) | 53.04% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley 23.92%
Portsmouth 50.91%
Draw 25.16%
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.92% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 50.91% |
How you voted: Accrington vs Portsmouth
Accrington Stanley
40.7%Draw
18.5%Portsmouth
40.7%27
Form Guide
