League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 1
Bolton

Towler (73', 84'), Bishop (87')
Curtis (71'), Rafferty (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Charles (48')
Santos (13'), Evatt (14'), Bradley (27'), Lee (56'), Toal (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Although Pompey have already lost twice to Bolton this season, none of those defeats took place under Mousinho's watch and after improving under their new manager, we think that they will frustrate the Trotters by holding them to a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
37.92% ( 6.93)	26.57% ( 0.17)	35.51% ( -7.1)

Both teams to score 52.26% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34% (

0.26)

52.66% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.7% (

0.22)

74.3% (

-0.22)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

4.5)

27% (

-4.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

5.54)

62.35% (

-5.54)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.58% (

-3.81)

28.42% (

3.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.83% (

-5.06)

64.17% (

5.06)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 37.92%

Bolton Wanderers 35.51%

Draw 26.56%

Portsmouth	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1.02) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 1.41) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.88) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.92%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.85) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -1.55) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.78) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -1.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.51%