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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
57.94% ( 0.06) | 23.34% ( -0.03) | 18.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.61% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.19% ( 0.07) | 50.81% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.3% ( 0.07) | 72.7% ( -0.06) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.72% ( 0.05) | 17.28% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.38% ( 0.08) | 47.62% ( -0.08) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.76% ( 0.01) | 41.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.23% ( 0.01) | 77.77% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |