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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
36.73% (![]() | 27.11% (![]() | 36.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% (![]() | 54.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% (![]() | 76.12% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% (![]() | 28.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% (![]() | 64.55% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.93% (![]() | 29.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.01% (![]() | 64.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 10.41% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.73% | 1-1 @ 12.86% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |