League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
We said: Port Vale 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers
Wycombe ended a three-game winless away run with a 3-0 victory over Peterborough in their most recent match on their travels, and we think that they will claim another victory on Saturday when they face a Port Vale side who have lost their last two home matches.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.03% . A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.65%) . The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result Port Vale Draw Wycombe Wanderers 38.03% ( -0.3) 26.7% ( 0.06) 35.26% ( 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.16)
46.79% ( -0.22) 53.21% ( 0.22)
25.22% ( -0.18) 74.77% ( 0.18)
72.81% ( -0.27) 27.19% ( 0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 37.4% ( -0.35) 62.6% ( 0.35)
71.16% ( 0.04) 28.84% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.3% ( 0.05) 64.69% ( -0.05)
Port Vale 38.03%
Wycombe Wanderers 35.26%
Draw 26.7%
Port Vale Draw Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.03% 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% 0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.26%
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 14:42:01
Wednesday, June 26
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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