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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Barnsley

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Barnsley

Moore (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Thomas (30'), Cadden (58')
Kane (69'), Connell (75'), Collins (81'), Martin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Barnsley

 Putting the ball into the back of the net has not been a problem for Oxford United, but keeping the opposition at bay is not their forte, and a goal-happy Barnsley are sure to take advantage of such frailties. The Tykes' stellar defensive record on the road should also come into play, and even with a couple more injury concerns to work around, we still expect Duff's men to travel back to South Yorkshire with another three points in the bag. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
43.71% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 30.85% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)48.94% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.029 -0.03)71.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)22.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)55.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)29.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)65.6% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.71%
    Barnsley 30.85%
    Draw 25.43%
Oxford UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.42% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.85%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Barnsley

Oxford United
24.7%
Draw
24.7%
Barnsley
50.7%
73
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2019 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-2
Barnsley
Ruffels (25'), Mackie (48')
Nelson (36'), Dickie (90')
Thiam (70'), Moore (79')
Thiam (37'), Dougall (39'), Lindsay (66'), Williams (73'), Mowatt (87')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Barnsley
4-0
Oxford Utd
Thiam (20', 29'), Potts (77'), Adeboyejo (89')
Apr 3, 2016 2.30pm
Final
Oxford Utd
2-3
Barnsley
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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