League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
We said: Oxford United 1-2 Ipswich Town
Ipswich's most recent league win took place against Oxford on Boxing Day, and although we do not think it will be as one-sided as that 3-0 scoreline, we still believe that the Tractor Boys will draw upon that experience to claim all three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01% . A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood .
Result Oxford United Draw Ipswich Town 23.85% ( 0.09) 24.13% ( -0.01) 52.01% ( -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% ( 0.14)
51.87% ( 0.13) 48.13% ( -0.13)
29.71% ( 0.12) 70.29% ( -0.12)
65.43% ( 0.16) 34.57% ( -0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.71% ( 0.17) 71.29% ( -0.16)
81.52% ( 0.02) 18.48% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 50.31% ( 0.03) 49.69% ( -0.03)
Oxford United 23.85%
Ipswich Town 52.01%
Draw 24.12%
Oxford United Draw Ipswich Town 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 23.85% 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.12% 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.01%
How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Ipswich
Oxford United
Draw
Ipswich Town
13
rhs 2.0
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