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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Ipswich logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wildschut (34'), Brannagan (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davis (38')
Donacien (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich's most recent league win took place against Oxford on Boxing Day, and although we do not think it will be as one-sided as that 3-0 scoreline, we still believe that the Tractor Boys will draw upon that experience to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
23.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 24.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 52.01% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.131 0.13)48.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.121 0.12)70.29% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.155 0.16)34.57% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.166 0.17)71.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 23.85%
    Ipswich Town 52.01%
    Draw 24.12%
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.01%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Ipswich

Oxford United
30.8%
Draw
15.4%
Ipswich Town
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Ipswich
McNally (90+5')
Williams (90+2'), Sykes (90+6')
Celina (70')
Burns (56'), Bonne (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Oxford Utd

Kenlock (76')

Rodriguez (23'), Forde (48'), Winnall (90+4'), (90+5')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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