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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Ipswich logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Ipswich

Wildschut (34'), Brannagan (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davis (38')
Donacien (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Ipswich Town

Ipswich's most recent league win took place against Oxford on Boxing Day, and although we do not think it will be as one-sided as that 3-0 scoreline, we still believe that the Tractor Boys will draw upon that experience to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
23.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 24.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 52.01% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.87% (0.131 0.13)48.13% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.71% (0.121 0.12)70.29% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.155 0.16)34.57% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (0.166 0.17)71.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.48% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.31% (0.027999999999999 0.03)49.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 23.85%
    Ipswich Town 52.01%
    Draw 24.12%
Oxford UnitedDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 23.85%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 52.01%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Ipswich

Oxford United
30.8%
Draw
15.4%
Ipswich Town
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Ipswich
McNally (90+5')
Williams (90+2'), Sykes (90+6')
Celina (70')
Burns (56'), Bonne (90+4')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Ipswich
0-0
Oxford Utd

Kenlock (76')

Rodriguez (23'), Forde (48'), Winnall (90+4'), (90+5')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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