League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hamilton (84')
Tharme (35'), Astley (57'), Leigh (62'), Pritchard (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Henry (58')
Brown (73'), Murphy (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Barnet
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Oxford United

Accrington Stanley have certainly improved in recent weeks and will look to kick on with another positive result on Saturday, but Oxford United possess more attacking quality, and we see them having enough to continue their unbeaten run and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Oxford United
28.1% ( 0.2)	24.77% ( -0.2)	47.13% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.21% (

0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.49% (

0.99)

47.51% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.28% (

0.91)

69.72% (

-0.91)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

0.66)

30.8% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.92% (

0.78)

67.08% (

-0.78)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

0.41)

20.21% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.47% (

0.64)

52.53% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 28.1%

Oxford United 47.13%

Draw 24.77%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.1%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.13%