EFL Trophy | Second Round

Nov 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
0 - 1
Accrington

Morris (65'), Smith (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leigh (66' pen.)
Whalley (56'), Rodgers (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with plenty of goalmouth action. Grimsby Town have been solid in front of their home fans in recent weeks and we predict they will do just enough to come away victorious on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
37.11% ( 0.02)	24.88% ( 0)	38% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.88% (

-0.01)

45.12% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.53% (

-0.01)

67.47% (

0.01)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

0.01)

23.96% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

0.01)

58.19% (

-0.01)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

-0.02)

23.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48% (

-0.02)

57.51% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 37.11%

Accrington Stanley 38%

Draw 24.88%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.11%	1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.88%	1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 38%