League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 1
Accrington

Mason-Clark (33'), Poku (51'), Clarke-Harris (59')
Fuchs (23'), Taylor (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rodgers (25')
Coyle (10'), Tharme (63'), Astley (65'), Rodgers (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 2-3 Bolton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Accrington Stanley

Peterborough have been very good at home this season and should be comfortable once again against Accrington. It will not be as bad as last time for Stanley, but they are low on confidence at the minute and will struggle to break down the Posh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
66.28% ( 0.35)	19.55% ( -0.17)	14.17% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

0.34)

42.74% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

0.34)

65.14% (

-0.34)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97% (

0.2)

12.02% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.51% (

0.42)

37.49% (

-0.42)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.79% (

-0.05)

42.2% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.39% (

-0.04)

78.61% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 66.26%

Accrington Stanley 14.17%

Draw 19.55%

Peterborough United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 66.26%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.55%	0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.54% Total : 14.17%