Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.