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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
47.73% ( -0.43) | 26.06% ( 0.11) | 26.22% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( -0.18) | 53.96% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% ( -0.15) | 75.41% ( 0.15) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% ( -0.27) | 22.62% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% ( -0.4) | 56.24% ( 0.41) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.3% ( 0.19) | 35.7% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% ( 0.19) | 72.48% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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