MX23RW : Friday, November 22 00:40:26| >> :600:425814:425814:
Crawley Town
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Crawley
1 - 4
Accrington

Hessenthaler (18')
Johnson (41'), Lynch (51'), Ransom (73'), Craig (85')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Whalley (1', 22', 49'), Hamilton (45')
Coyle (25'), Savin (79'), Leigh (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Crawley Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Accrington
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 0-1 Accrington Stanley

We are not expecting this to be a particularly open and entertaining match, with perhaps just the one goal deciding the contest. Crawley are in strong form at the moment, but Accrington will arguably be able to send the better side onto the field, and we fancy the visitors to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawAccrington Stanley
38.63%25.04%36.33%
Both teams to score 57.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12%45.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81%68.18%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49%23.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46%57.53%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26%24.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71%59.28%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 38.63%
    Accrington Stanley 36.33%
    Draw 25.03%
Crawley TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.07%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 11.75%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.03%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 0.97%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 36.33%

How you voted: Crawley vs Accrington

Crawley Town
100%
Draw
0.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2018 3pm
Crawley
2-1
Accrington
Boldewijn (15', 33')
Young (73'), Boldewijn (90')
Smith (57' og.)
Johnson (62'), Hughes (66'), McConville (86')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Accrington
2-3
Crawley
Kee (45' pen.), Richards-Everton (53')
Clark (9' og.), Boldewijn (10', 41')
Randall (27'), Yorwerth (39'), Boldewijn (44'), Meite (52'), Evina (89'), Clifford (90')
Apr 17, 2017 3pm
Oct 22, 2016 3pm
Crawley
0-0
Accrington

Djalo (64'), Tajbaksh (90')

Pearson (45')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Accrington
4-1
Crawley
Kee (48'), Pearson (73'), Conneely (87'), Mingoia (91')
McConville (69'), Crooks (82')
McCartan (64'), Mooney (67')
Edwards (21')
Ashton (58')
Walton (65')
rhs 2.0
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