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League One
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Oxford United

Accrington
1 - 4
Oxford Utd

Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
34.05%24.55%41.4%
Both teams to score 58.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03%43.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65%66.35%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.86%25.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.15%59.85%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7%21.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75%54.24%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 34.05%
    Oxford United 41.4%
    Draw 24.55%
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 7.89%
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 5.11%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 6.4%
1-3 @ 4.56%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 3.15%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
3-0
Accrington
Henry (13'), Taylor (50', 72')

Finley (71'), Johnson (77')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
2-2
Oxford Utd
Clark (59'), Zanzala (73')
Finley (31'), Johnson (44'), Opoku (45'), Clark (64'), Conneely (93')
Fosu (28'), Brannagan (70')
Henry (45'), Mackie (45'), Brannagan (79'), Taylor (89')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
4-2
Oxford Utd
Kee (36'), McConville (57'), Clark (73'), Armstrong (94')
Richards-Everton (39'), McConville (70')
Garbutt (63'), Mousinho (89')
Brannagan (44')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Oxford Utd
2-3
Accrington
Whyte (27'), Browne (57')
Brannagan (60'), Browne (65'), Norman (84')
Norman (42' og.), Kee (62', 79')
Brown (19'), McConville (34'), Clark (36'), Sykes (90'), Ripley (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Accrington
Maguire (29')
Lundstram (81')
Kee (46'), Brown (88')
Davies (65')
Davies (84')
rhs 2.0
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