Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.