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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
25.35% | 24.15% | 50.5% |
Both teams to score 54.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% | 46.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.13% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.4% | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.86% | 69.15% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% | 18.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% | 49.87% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 6.79% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |