Accrington1 - 0Barnet
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Barnet
We expect Barnet to give Accrington a good fight on Saturday, but the League One side should have too much quality for their non-league opponents in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.3%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barnet |
49.36% ( -0.07) | 21.8% ( -0.02) | 28.84% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.32% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
