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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
29.14% ( -0.04) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 44.71% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.53% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.36% ( -0.06) | 52.63% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( -0.05) | 74.28% ( 0.05) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% ( -0.06) | 32.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.76% ( -0.07) | 69.24% ( 0.07) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% ( -0.02) | 23.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% ( -0.02) | 57.46% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.14% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |