League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

Greenhous Meadow

Shrewsbury
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Bowman (60')
Pennington (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Taylor (11'), Brannagan (82' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Wigan
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Plymouth Argyle	46	20	80
8	Oxford United	46	23	76
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-3 Oxford United

Oxford will be hoping by the time that next season rolls around they will be plying their trade in the Championship. For Shrewsbury, League One is as good as it is going to get for now, and they will likely succumb yet again to the promotion chasers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Oxford United
23.66%	24.68%	51.67%

Both teams to score 51.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.44%

50.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53%

72.48%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93%

36.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.14%

72.86%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45%

19.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53%

51.47%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 23.66%

Oxford United 51.66%

Draw 24.67%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.19% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.66%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 9.39% 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.13% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.66%