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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kassam Stadium
MK Dons

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
MK Dons

Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 MK Dons

Both teams need a victory to achieve their respective goals, but we think that the Dons will take the spoils on Tuesday with the visitors currently unbeaten in their last 10 away games, while eight of those contests have resulted in a MK Dons victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMK Dons
38.53%24.96%36.51%
Both teams to score 57.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.52%45.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19%67.8%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62%23.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65%57.35%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55%24.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11%58.88%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 38.53%
    MK Dons 36.51%
    Draw 24.96%
Oxford UnitedDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.5%
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 6.04%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 11.7%
2-2 @ 5.99%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-1 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.36%
2-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 36.51%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs MK Dons

Oxford United
34.1%
Draw
22.0%
MK Dons
43.9%
41
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Oxford Utd
Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
MK Dons
Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')
Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Oxford Utd
Mason (59')
Houghton (17'), Nicholls (67'), Lewington (75'), Agard (82'), Reeves (97')

Dickie (39'), Fosu (88'), Rodriguez (96')
rhs 2.0
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FT
Patriots
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