Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.