Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.