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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
2 - 1
Crewe

Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday. Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.19%18.6%12.21%
Both teams to score 48.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49%65.51%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66%11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.98%36.03%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7%81.3%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 69.18%
    Crewe Alexandra 12.21%
    Draw 18.6%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 12.21%
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.83%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.75%
5-0 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 69.18%
1-1 @ 8.85%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.06%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crewe

MK Dons
79.5%
Draw
7.7%
Crewe Alexandra
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Crewe
2-0
MK Dons
Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Crewe

Cargill (42'), Agard (45')
Kirk (32')
Jones (43'), Garratt (81')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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