League One

League One | Gameweek 25

Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium MK

MK Dons
3 - 1
Cheltenham

Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Boyle (89')
May (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Wycombe
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Cambridge United	46	-18	58
15	Cheltenham Town	46	-14	56
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Having lost once in their last five games in all competitions, MK Dons will be confident of collecting all three points on Wednesday, and we think that they will profit against a Cheltenham side that are currently on a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
61.4%	21.98%	16.63%

Both teams to score 48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.5%

48.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.37%

70.63%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7%

15.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.98%

44.02%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.59%

42.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.21%

78.79%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 61.39%

Cheltenham Town 16.63%

Draw 21.97%

MK Dons	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 6.14% 4-0 @ 3.36% 4-1 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.23% Total : 61.39%	1-1 @ 10.44% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.97%	0-1 @ 5.57% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.63%