Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.