League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Whaddon Road

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Gillingham

Wright (40'), Etete (78')
Hutchinson (57'), Long (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Oliver (14'), Reeves (59')
Oliver (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Cambridge United	46	-18	58
15	Cheltenham Town	46	-14	56
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53

Gillingham

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Gillingham

Cheltenham can afford to take their foot off the gas slightly with survival assured, but Duff will not accept such complacency at home, where they have prevailed more often than not in recent weeks. Gillingham have looked a far more composed outfit since the turn of the year, but it is still difficult to know what to expect from Harris's side on a weekly basis, and the home advantage just tips this one in Cheltenham's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Gillingham
60.65%	22.6%	16.75%

Both teams to score 47.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.21%

50.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.32%

72.68%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67%

16.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.08%

45.92%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.39%

43.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.2%

79.8%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 60.64%

Gillingham 16.75%

Draw 22.59%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 5.86% 4-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-0 @ 1.16% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.91% Total : 60.64%	1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.59%	0-1 @ 5.91% 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-2 @ 2.45% 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.75%