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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Gillingham

Accrington
1 - 2
Gillingham

Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham

Given the contrasting home and away records of the respective teams, there should only be one winner on Saturday. However, with the stakes and desire far higher in the visitors dressing room, we are predicting an hard-earned share of the spoils for Gillingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
54.74%24.06%21.2%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4%50.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49%72.51%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.5%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54%38.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79%75.21%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 54.74%
    Gillingham 21.2%
    Draw 24.06%
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.2%

How you voted: Accrington vs Gillingham

Accrington Stanley
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Gillingham
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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