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League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Gillingham

Accrington
1 - 2
Gillingham

Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham

Given the contrasting home and away records of the respective teams, there should only be one winner on Saturday. However, with the stakes and desire far higher in the visitors dressing room, we are predicting an hard-earned share of the spoils for Gillingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
54.74%24.06%21.2%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4%50.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49%72.51%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.5%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54%38.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79%75.21%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 54.74%
    Gillingham 21.2%
    Draw 24.06%
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.2%

How you voted: Accrington vs Gillingham

Accrington Stanley
Draw
Gillingham
Accrington Stanley
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Gillingham
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham35257358233582
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham36208850302068
4Charlton AthleticCharlton36189947311663
5Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
6Bolton WanderersBolton36186125954560
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading361610105145658
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool36121595448651
12Stevenage36139143437-348
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Exeter CityExeter35127163950-1143
17Bristol Rovers36126183955-1642
18Mansfield TownMansfield36118174150-941
19Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3679203866-2830
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3678213560-2529
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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