Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
